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THE Planning Commission may have to look at a
number of issues as it begins to focus on providing the country with an
industrial sector that meet its needs. To begin with, what kind of direction
and help should the state provide to the industrial sector in the light of
developments taking place in the global economy and the evolution of the
world's industrial production system?
In
its most recent report, the UNIDO has indicated that concentration on
"tasks" rather than on the production of final products provides better
opportunities to the countries such as Pakistan that have been left behind
in the process of industrialisation. By "tasks," the UNIDO is referring to
the assistance in producing the final products rather than the products
themselves. If there is some substance in this advice how should Pakistan go
about it?
In focusing on the future structure of the industrial sector, policy makers
must bear in mind the competitive pressures under which the country is
operating. Of these none is more important than the competition emanating
from China. Trade with China is an area of enormous interest for Pakistani
businesses. Some have concerns while some others see opportunities. The
conclusion is obvious: the dynamics of this trade needs to be studied
carefully by the public and private sector working together and recommending
policy actions for the state. By focusing on tasks, policy makers could
achieve better integration between the Chinese and Pakistani industrial
systems.
Businesses in Pakistan also believe that an important aspect of the trade
policy is the Pakistan-Afghanistan Transit Trade Agreement. While providing
Kabul with an outlet to the sea is important, the agreement should not
create opportunities for enormous leakages that have occurred in the past
and continue to occur at present. The modalities of this trade needs to be
determined in a way that Pakistan's economic interests are protected.
Large businesses feel that the growth of the black economy is hurting
development of the industrial economy. There is an urgent need to develop a
level playing field for enterprises of various sizes. At the moment, small
enterprises, by avoiding to pay taxes and by avoiding a number of fairly
stringent regulations, have increased their market share in the local market
place at the expense of large firms. The large producers find it difficult
to compete with SMEs.
The SMES can also deal with energy and water shortages by making
under-the-table payments to officials responsible for providing these
services. While the development of the SME sector is vital for the country's
economic future it should add to the overall efficiency of the economy.
Operating in an uneven field reduces the economy's efficiency. How can a
level playing field be produced for all businesses?
One way of doing it is to review laws and regulations that are in place.
Such a review will reveal that many of them are no longer needed; the
purpose for putting them on the books was to realise a particular goal or
solve a certain problem. For instance, the Agricultural Marketing Acts in
the provinces were originally written to protect the Muslim peasantry and
small landholders from the non-Muslim shopkeepers. They have lost their
original purpose but they remain on the books. A review done jointly with
the private sector would indicate that many laws and regulations only create
rent seeking opportunities for the regulators. They serve no particular
economic or social interest.
Taxation and revenue generation is one particular area where a great deal of
cleansing of laws and regulations needs to be done. As was recognised in the
recent budget speech, it is of vital importance for increasing the tax to
GDP ratio. Many among the private sector feel that the regulations in place
should be carefully studied by a joint working group of officials and
private sector people.
It is also important to develop international trade as an important
determinant of efficient industrialisation. There is an anti-export bias in
the traditional approach to policy making. This is another area where the
private sector could work with the government to; (a) identify changes in
policies that would create a pro-export orientation and, (b) identify the
institutions that need to be improved or established to realise the
government's objectives.
Businesses are deeply concerned about the state of physical infrastructure
which has lagged behind the development of the economy and does not meet the
needs of a trading nation. They have taken cognisance of the fact that
India, having lagged behind Pakistan in developing its highway system, is
rapidly catching up. Indians have developed an ambitious programme for
developing a national highway system closely involving the private sector.
The users will be required to pay for the facilities they use. The private
sector should be asked by the government to present it with the contours of
an action plan that would involve it in the development of this vital sector
of the economy including the prospect of raising additional resources for
investment in the sector.
Belonging to the sector of infrastructure but demanding a separate treatment
is shipping, an area in which a decent beginning was made in the 1960s but
has allowed the industry to run it down. Absence of appropriate shipping
facilities imposes enormous burdens on exporters, adding significantly to
costs. How could this situation be remedied?
The businesses recognise that Pakistan has not given the sector of
agriculture the attention it deserves. Properly developed, agriculture could
be a major source of exports, not only of grain and other low value- added
products. Pakistan could carve out a decent space for itself in processed
foods. But this will need investment by the state in infrastructure (cold
chains, for instance), technology to increase productivity as well as the
quality of products, finance and market advice. Once again, the public and
private sectors could be partners.
Given the serious shortages that have developed in recent years in supply of
energy, the government needs to develop a well thought-out strategy to
ensure that supply keeps up with demand. It is clear that the gap between
supply and demand cannot be closed by the government alone making investment
from public funds. There has to be a partnership between the public and
private sectors.
Pakistan has seriously lagged behind developing the technological base of
the economy. There was eloquent talk in the Planning Commission's Vision
2030 statement about providing the economy a strong technological
foundation. That goal is still searching for an operational answer. What
kind of strategy is needed and how could the private sector support it?
Should the development of e-government be given more attention than it has
received and whether e-government could serve as the catalyst for advancing
the pace of technological development?
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