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Gulf
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Recent warnings over the deteriorating outlook for Pakistan's textile
sector, highlight a grave outcome of the country's energy crises.The
consequence of this trend is more than likely to exacerbate poverty and
cause harm to a sector which is the second largest provider of employment
outside agriculture.Other factors that have come to harm the outlook for
textiles include fast rising interest rates and the high cost of cotton,
which is the main raw material for this sector.
In recent months, textile producers have complained bitterly over industrial
units shutting down because of fast accumulating losses.What doesn't help
the Pakistani textile sector is the global economic slowdown which has
already affected business prospects for exporting countries.
For Pakistan, a crash in its textile sector marks a major economic setback.
Textile production represents just below half of the country's total output
from its manufacturing sector. Nearly a half of Pakistan's industrial work
force is employed in textiles.A slowdown in textiles is also harmful for the
government's finances as this is a trend which is bound to hit official tax
collections.
Going forward, the plight of Pakistan's textile sector should be a lesson
for the testing times faced by the country as it adjusts to a difficult
domestic and external business environment. There are at least two
inter-related challenges which emerge in this difficult environment.
First, it is important to recognise that the Pakistani government must work
aggressively on initiatives that help those forced into poverty. Human
poverty, especially of abject proportions, is destabilising for any country,
notably a state like Pakistan which is caught in the midst of growing
insecurity and political turbulence. Second, it is also vital to appreciate
the difficult challenge for Pakistan being a state which is caught in the
midst of a long-awaited but still troubled transition from a more
authoritarian regime to a relatively democratic one.
While the office of the president and the prime minister is under the
command of the same political party, the ruling Pakistan People's Party
(PPP), this structure in itself is far from satisfactory. Pakistan's outlook
continues to be undermined in ways not seen before, mainly because its
rulers are still struggling to adapt themselves to coming up to popular
expectations. There are no easy ways to deal with the economic challenges.
And yet, a credible beginning to deal with such challenges will come only
when Pakistan successfully tackles the political divisions. A change for the
better must also be accompanied by a major forward movement to tackle the
policy challenges and the overall lethargy which hinders progress. Pakistani
officials can also draw much inspiration from the country's own experiences
of a robust economic recovery not too long ago when it emerged as a key
player among the world's emerging economies.
It is possible to argue convincingly that without the political turmoil in
the past 18 months, Pakistan could have survived the global economic
slowdown with fewer consequences. For the sake of the Pakistani economy, new
initiatives such as evolving an across the board political consensus to back
economic policies, may well be a far more advisable way to go forward than
overseeing continued political uncertainty. |